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Canada’s Public Market Crisis: A PENSIONFUND OVERVIEW
Introduction
Canada’s public market faces significant challenges due to insufficient investment from pension funds. This oversight is evident in the underperformance of domestic assets relative to foreign counterparts, as highlighted by Desjardins Group and CPPIB.
Pension Fund Dynamics
- Desjardins Group’s Role: The group has noted that Canadian public markets are increasingly reliant on foreign pension funds for capital, which poses a risk to Canadian economic independence.
- CPPIB’s Investment Choices: The Canadian investment precipitation program (CPP) holds significant assets in U.K. government debt and emerging market equities, limiting exposure to domestic alternatives.
Valuation Concerns
- Liquidity Impact: François Carrier emphasizes the adverse effects of low liquidity on valuations and corporate growth opportunities, leading to aggressive takeovers by foreign companies.
- Foreign Takeovers: Canadian mid-caps like Stelco and Tricon have attracted foreign bids due to unfavorable market conditions, raising questions about governance and transparency.
Market Inactivity
The Canadian IPO market has shown limited activity this year, with minimal capital raised outside financial vehicles. This stagnation contributes to the lack of attractive offers for domestic companies.
Regulatory Considerations
- Pension Fund Rules: There is growing interest in revising pension investment policies to promote greater public sector participation and ensure transparency.
- U.K.’s Interest: The U.K. has expressed interest in Canadian pensions, highlighting potential risks to domestic markets from foreign influences.
Future Outlook
- Mergers and Acquisitions: Foreign takeovers are seen as a constructive force, offering Canadian companies opportunities to enhance their global competitiveness through M&A.
- Market Rebound: With increased capital from CPPIB’s strategic shifts, there is hope for a recovery in Canadian IPO activity and improved valuations.
Conclusion
The underinvestment by Canadian pension funds underscores the need for reform and innovation in public markets. As Desjardins Group continues to explore debt markets, the future of these sectors remains pivotal to Canada’s economic stability.
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